The spaceflight world is abuzz with rapid developments at SpaceX, particularly surrounding Starship Flight 10. With Ship 36 completing critical tests and Booster 16 now equipped with its hot staging ring, all signs point to an imminent launch before the end of June. If successful, this would set a new turnaround record for the Starship program—further cementing SpaceX’s position as the global leader in next-generation launch technology.
Meanwhile, United Launch Alliance (ULA) is facing delays and uncertainties with its Atlas V rocket, highlighting the sharp contrast in momentum between legacy aerospace companies and agile innovators like SpaceX.
Let’s dive into the latest milestones, the technological significance, and what’s at stake in the upcoming weeks.
The Road to Flight 10: Massive Progress Across the Board
Ship 36 Begins Final Static Fire Testing
After wrapping up cryo-testing well before Flight 9 even launched, Ship 36 (S36) is now in the final leg of its pre-flight testing campaign. On June 15th, the vehicle was moved to the Massey Test Site, where preparations for static fire were clearly visible the following morning.
Key observations:
- Aft flaps deployed by early morning June 16th.
- Cryogenic load began with modest propellant quantities: only about one-third liquid oxygen and a small amount of methane.
- A brief engine ignition, likely a single-engine test, lasted around 6–7 seconds and produced an estimated 230 tons of thrust.
This type of short-duration ignition supports the engine relight capabilities in space, which is vital for maneuvers like orbital adjustments and controlled re-entry.
Aerodynamic Control Flap Test Confirmed
During the static fire, both forward and aft flaps were actuated, providing crucial data on aerodynamic control systems. These flaps are vital for:
- Re-entry stability
- Precision landings
- Payload deployment accuracy
A more extensive six-engine static fire is expected soon, potentially within days of the initial test. This full-duration test will simulate the engine performance under stress, helping validate:
- Thrust variability
- Engine control responsiveness
- Hardware resilience
If all goes well, Ship 36 will return to Mega Bay 2 for:
- Final integration
- Payload attachment
- Flight Termination System (FTS) installation
This keeps SpaceX on track for a late-June rollout to the launchpad, setting the stage for a possible Flight 10 launch before month’s end.
Booster 16 Gears Up with Hot Staging Ring Installation
Quick Turnaround Post Flight 9
Just one week after Flight 9, Booster 16 (B16) surprised everyone by rolling out for a static fire test. After a successful ignition, B16 was returned to the production site for further evaluation. Although there were concerns about a potential collision during its detachment from the launch mount, no serious damage was found.
By June 11th, engineers confirmed the installation of its hot staging ring, a key component for stage separation during flight. Shortly after, B16 was moved into Mega Bay for the installation of:
- Final hot staging assembly
- Flight termination system
With the current pace, Booster 16 is on track to be ready even before Ship 36, which is rare and impressive.
Can Flight 10 Launch This Month? All Signs Say Yes
Record-Breaking Turnaround in Sight
If SpaceX launches Flight 10 on or before June 30th, it will officially break the turnaround record between Starship flights. The current record stands at 37 days (between Flight 5 and 6). A launch on June 30th would reduce that to just 34 days.
That is not just a statistic—it’s a testament to SpaceX’s increasing launch cadence and manufacturing maturity.
Why This Matters: The Bigger Picture
In 2024, SpaceX launched four Starship flights. If Flight 10 happens this month, it will match that number halfway through 2025. With momentum building, a fifth or even sixth flight is possible this year.
Looking ahead:
- 25 flights per year is the goal for Starbase
- In Florida, the company plans:
- 44 launches from LC-39A
- 76 launches from LC-37 (recently taken over from ULA)
To reach those numbers, SpaceX must establish consistent back-to-back successful launches, and Flight 10 is a key milestone in that journey.
Flight 10: Technical Hurdles Still Remain
Challenges From Flight 9 Still Linger
For all the progress, technical issues still need addressing:
- Propellant leak on Ship 29 caused loss of control in Flight 9.
- Payload deployment problems and a fire near the aft flaps were also reported.
- On the Superheavy booster, engineers noted:
- Igniter failures
- Engine anomalies
- Re-entry issues due to excessive angle of attack
FAA and Regulatory Approval
There are also regulatory hurdles. The FAA must complete a mishap investigation related to Flight 9, especially regarding debris that reached parts of Mexico.
However, the FAA has:
- Confirmed no injuries or property damage
- Limited its investigation to the ship stage
- Waived further booster inquiries
This suggests the regulatory path is clear—improving the odds for a June launch.
ULA’s Atlas V Delayed Indefinitely: Kyper Mission Suffers
While SpaceX is accelerating, ULA is experiencing setbacks that could ripple across its launch partners.
Kyper 2 Delay Explained
Atlas V’s planned launch of Amazon’s Kyper 2 mission (second batch of internet satellites) was scheduled for June 16th but was abruptly postponed due to an engine purge issue.
ULA CEO Tory Bruno explained:
“Possible issue with a GN2 purge line… can’t be resolved inside the count.”
Key technical insight: An elevated purge temperature suggests a problem with the nitrogen system meant to cool engine components. If it fails, the engine risks overheating—even before ignition.
Implications: Aging Infrastructure and Strategic Missteps
Atlas V uses the Russian-built RD-180 engine, a solid performer but now considered outdated and hard to support due to geopolitical issues.
The result? Atlas V has become:
- Less reliable
- More expensive
- Harder to maintain
Adding to the challenge, Amazon deliberately avoided launching with SpaceX due to business ties with Blue Origin. Instead, they opted for:
- Blue Origin’s New Glenn
- ULA’s Vulcan
- Europe’s Ariane 6
All of which have faced delays or reliability concerns.
Amazon’s Kyper Constellation: In Trouble?
To stay competitive with SpaceX’s Starlink, Amazon needs to launch at least 83 successful missions for its 3,200-satellite Kyper network.
But so far:
- Only one Kyper launch has succeeded.
- Atlas V, their stopgap solution, is showing signs of unreliability.
- Vulcan and New Glenn are still ramping up.
- Ariane 6 remains delayed.
With each delay, Starlink extends its lead in the satellite internet race.
Only 13 Atlas V Missions Left: The Clock Is Ticking
After Kyper 2, Atlas V has only:
- 6 more Kyper missions
- 6 Starliner flights
- 1 VIAT mission
Starliner itself is delayed until 2026, and Vulcan’s booster issues have slowed its deployment.
In short, ULA is running out of time and rockets. Meanwhile, SpaceX is increasing production, enhancing reusability, and setting records.
Conclusion: The Contrast Couldn’t Be Clearer
SpaceX’s Starship Flight 10 is poised to:
- Break turnaround records
- Validate full-stack upgrades
- Push Starship closer to operational readiness
Meanwhile, ULA’s Atlas V—a rocket at the end of its life—is stalling Amazon’s Kyper constellation, and no immediate solution appears ready.
Flight 10 is more than just another launch. It’s a signal that SpaceX is ready to move from R&D into rapid, frequent flight ops, and the rest of the industry is struggling to keep pace.
FAQs
1. What is Starship Flight 10?
Starship Flight 10 is the upcoming test flight of SpaceX’s fully reusable launch system, comprising Ship 36 (S36) and Booster 16 (B16). It follows Flight 9 and is expected to break the record for the fastest turnaround time between Starship launches.
2. When will Starship Flight 10 launch?
While an exact date hasn’t been confirmed, Flight 10 is expected to launch before the end of June 2025 if all testing and regulatory approvals proceed as planned.
3. What record will SpaceX break with Flight 10?
If launched by June 30th, Flight 10 will break the current Starship turnaround record of 37 days between flights by reducing the interval to just 34 days.
4. What is the significance of the hot staging ring on Booster 16?
The hot staging ring allows Booster 16 to perform stage separation more efficiently, even while its engines are firing. This method improves reliability and reduces downtime between launch phases.
5. What tests have Ship 36 completed so far?
Ship 36 has completed:
- Cryogenic testing
- A single-engine static fire
- Flap actuation tests
A full six-engine static fire is expected soon to verify flight readiness.
6. Why is the full static fire test important?
A full-duration static fire involving all six engines of Ship 36 will simulate real flight conditions, validating engine performance, thrust balance, and system durability under stress.
7. How does this launch affect SpaceX’s long-term goals?
A successful Flight 10 supports SpaceX’s vision of achieving:
- 25 annual launches from Starbase
- 44 launches from LC-39A
- 76 launches from LC-37 in Florida
It’s a step toward establishing a high-frequency launch cadence.
8. What are the main challenges SpaceX must overcome before Flight 10?
Challenges include:
- Fixing issues seen in Flight 9 (propellant leak, flap fire)
- Ensuring engine ignition consistency
- Receiving final FAA clearance
9. What is the FAA’s role in Flight 10?
The FAA (Federal Aviation Administration) must approve SpaceX’s launch after completing a mishap investigation from Flight 9. So far, they’ve limited the probe to the ship stage and cleared the booster.
10. What happened with ULA’s Atlas V and Amazon’s Kyper 2 launch?
The Atlas V launch of Amazon’s Kyper 2 mission was delayed indefinitely due to a purge temperature issue related to its engine cooling system.
11. Why is the purge system failure significant?
The purge system ensures engine components stay cool and clean before ignition. A malfunction can cause overheating, risking engine failure or fire during launch.
12. How many Atlas V launches are left?
Only 13 Atlas V missions remain:
- 6 for Amazon’s Kyper
- 6 for Boeing’s Starliner
- 1 for VIAT
The rocket is nearing retirement.
13. What alternatives does Amazon have for launching Kyper satellites?
Amazon plans to use:
- ULA’s Vulcan
- Blue Origin’s New Glenn
- Europe’s Ariane 6
However, all three are facing technical or schedule-related delays.
14. Will Kyper be able to catch up to Starlink?
Given the delays, limited launches, and unproven rockets, it’s unlikely that Amazon’s Kyper will match SpaceX’s Starlink in terms of scale or launch cadence anytime soon.
15. Why is Starship so important to the future of space travel?
Starship represents the next era of spaceflight, offering:
- Fully reusable rockets
- High payload capacity
- Cost-effective launches
It’s central to Mars colonization, lunar missions, and global satellite deployment.
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